Good Wednesday morning, it’s a quiet start to the day with the ArkLaMiss staying dry and temperatures sitting in the 60’s. Today skies will be mostly cloudy with the slight chance for a shower or two and temperatures topping out around 84 degrees. Winds will be picking up and become breezy from the south, up to 15mph. Ample surface heating this afternoon and moisture influx from those southerly winds will help “fuel” our atmosphere for strong to severe storm development tonight ahead of an approaching dry line/cold front.
The ArkLaMiss is under an *enhanced* risk for severe weather overnight tonight. Storms will begin tonight around 10:00 and it’s looking like a broken line of showers and thunderstorms with severe potential will move from west to east overnight, mostly drying out by sunrise. Atmospheric conditions look to be favorable for the development of supercells which could produce isolated tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. Be sure you have multiple ways to receive severe watches and warnings overnight.
Although the initial line of storms should mostly clear out by early Thursday morning, around 6:00, there is a possibility for another round of thunderstorms to develop on Thursday afternoon closer to the Mississippi River. The same severe threats would be present, but there is more uncertainty regarding this second round. The eastern half of the coverage area is under a *slight* risk for severe storms on Thursday, and most of the storms should be completely cleared out across the MS River by the early afternoon. Temperatures will be topping out in the upper 70’s tomorrow with brisk winds from the south.