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Tropics Outlook 8-26-2014

Development possible in the Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane Cristobal a threat to
Category 1 Hurricane Cristobal certainly doesn't have that classic hurricane look on Tuesday morning's satellite image (courtesy: NOAA).
Category 1 Hurricane Cristobal certainly doesn't have that classic hurricane look on Tuesday morning's satellite image (courtesy: NOAA).
Upper disturbance causing thunderstorm activity in the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday morning (courtesy: NOAA)
Upper disturbance causing thunderstorm activity in the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday morning (courtesy: NOAA)
MONROE / EL DORADO -- Cristobal became a hurricane on Monday evening. As of Tuesday morning, Cristobal had max winds of 75 mph and minimum pressure of 988 millibars. Cristobal could bring some tropical storm force winds to Bermuda; otherwise, no threat to land.

Gulf thunderstorms, associated with a surface trough and an upper disturbance, are no better organized Tuesday than they were on Monday. Still, gulf waters are warm enough to favor development. A few models indicate this disturbance could develop an area of low pressure moving west into Texas by Friday. At the moment, looks like this poses little significant tropical threat to the northern Gulf Coast. Let me reiterate... there are NO indications that there will be a major hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico this week. These storms will certainly continue to bring rain to coastal areas through the week, though. Will continue to monitor.

A tropical wave (Invest 97L) is still out in the Atlantic, hundreds of miles east of the Lesser Antilles. It could develop into a tropical cyclone later this week. But, the potential appears low with this wave.

You can get the latest official info from the National Hurricane Center.
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