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Tropics Outlook 7-31-2014

Tropical Storm Bertha forms in the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday evening.
Tropical Storm Bertha forms in the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday evening (courtesy: NOAA).
Tropical Storm Bertha forms in the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday evening (courtesy: NOAA).
MONROE / EL DORADO --  Tropical Storm Bertha has formed in the Atlantic Ocean. On Thursday evening, the Bertha had maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph and was moving quickly to the west-northwest at about 19 mph.

On satellite imagery from Thursday evening, a flare up of enhanced thunderstorm activity could be seen on Bertha's northeastern side. Visible satellite from earlier Thursday showed an impressive low-level circulation. But, a lack of enhanced thunderstorm activity is one of the criteria that held this system back earlier today from being considered a tropical cyclone. There is still some dry air and plenty of wind shear that will hamper and slow the development of Bertha.

The National Hurricane Center keeps Bertha as a tropical storm over the next 5 days; their official forecast track takes the storm through the northern Caribbean Sea over the weekend toward the Bahamas. Forecasts continue to call for Bertha to make a northerly turn as it approaches the eastern US coast, possibly bringing rainfall to locations up the east coast next week.

Still, I see no reason for anyone on the northern Gulf Coast to be concerned... I don't expect any impacts from Bertha to arrive in the ArkLaMiss.

You can get the latest official info from the National Hurricane Center.
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