Saturday's Severe Weather Risk Area Expanded

Published 12/20 2013 09:07AM

Updated 12/21 2013 12:58AM

Late Friday AM, SPC expanded Sat's Moderate Risk to include most of the ArkLaMiss. Main severe weather threat will be damaging winds & tornadoes.
Late Friday AM, SPC expanded Sat's Moderate Risk to include most of the ArkLaMiss. Main severe weather threat will be damaging winds & tornadoes.

UPDATE: As of late Friday morning, the Storm Prediction Center has expanded Saturday's Moderate Risk for severe weather to include most of the ArkLaMiss. Damaging winds and tornadoes will be the main threats.

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Original Story:

West Monroe/El Dorado -- Stronger storms are possible in southwest Arkansas and northwest Louisiana on Friday. And damaging winds, tornadoes, and heavy rain are possible across much of the ArkLaMiss on Saturday.

Warm air, ahead of a cold front and upper trough, continues to stream in from the Gulf of Mexico across much of the south central U.S. With the added moisture invading the lower atmosphere, this sets the stage for a heavy rain event. Flash Flood Watches have gone up for parts of Arkansas expecting the heaviest rain through Saturday night.

On Thursday, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) called for a Slight Risk of severe weather on Saturday in the Ark-La-Miss. On Friday, the SPC, in anticipation of Saturday's severe weather event, elevated parts of the Ark-La-Miss from a Slight Risk (green-shaded) to a Moderate Risk (orange-shaded). This means the threat for damaging winds and isolated tornadoes on Saturday afternoon and evening has increased.

The mode of convection will be complex. So, that means a variety of severe weather can happen on Saturday afternoon & evening. The convection should eventually form into a squall line by the time it makes it eastward to the Mississippi state line: damaging winds will be the main severe weather threat on Saturday.

It's important to note that it is fairly uncommon for the SPC to issue a Moderate Risk two days out from the event; this signifies that anyone living in the affected area (especially the orange-shaded area) should pay close attention to the latest local weather forecasts because the weather could get serious. As always, the KTVE 10 Weather Team will be monitoring this closely and will let you know the latest watches/warnings. Make sure to check our website and "Like" our Facebook page, as well as Chief Meteorologist Jarod Floyd, Meteorologist Kayleigh Klaustermeier, and Meteorologist Wesley Williams for the latest alerts and information.


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